Destined for War

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CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS The reason is Thucydides s Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one This phenomenon is as old as history itself About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times War broke out in twelve of them Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries great again, the seventeenth case looks grim Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all out war In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S China relations in the twenty first century Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today. Free Download Destined for War [ By ] Graham Allison [ Kindle ePUB or eBook ] – kino-fada.fr Exposition of the Thucydides Trap , an IR question where a rising power threatens an established great power While I retain some skepticism of Allison s rosy picture of the Chinese economy, I agreewith the assessment of ongoing sources of tension between China and the United States, and the possibility though not inevitability of further disagreement, and the not entirely reduced risk of blundering into war While nuclear weaponshav...Present foreign policy in the United States is examined in the context of one of the earliest consequential wars ever written about While others identified an array of contributing causes of the Peloponnesian War, Thucydides went to the heart of the matter When he turned the spotlight on the rise of Athens and the fear that t...Graham Allison, a Harvard professor and sometime government functionary, is clearly a man who thinks a great deal of himself On the other hand, most of his pride in himself actually seems justified by his experience and thought, and in these Trumpian days, perhaps immodesty is the Spirit of the Age Therefore, if you can get through the scenes in Destined For War where Allison talks down to and instructs David Petraeus like a schoolboy, as the latter sits behind his CIA desk and the passages Graham Allison, a Harvard professor and sometime government functionary, is clearly a man who thinks a great deal of himself On the other hand, most of his pride in himself actually seems justified by his experience and thought, and in these Trumpian days, perhaps immodesty is the Spirit of the Age Therefore, if you can get through the scenes in Destined For War where Allison talks down to and instructs David Petraeus like a schoolboy, as the latter sits behind his CIA desk and the passages where Allison exhaustively and irrelevantly enumerates the great men who have benefited from his role as special advisor, this book is actually very informative and thought provoking.I m not sure this book is all that thought provoking, though Yo...This Geopolitics selection is based on the problems when incumbent major power faces an up and coming challenger to its role as hegemon The name for this situation is the Thucydides trap Named after the historian who documented dominant Sparta s war with Athens which was the up and coming power The author documents about twenty cases when this situation arose in history and 16 times it resulted in war In the age of nuclear weapons incumbent America and rising China the world cannot afford su This Geopolitics selection is based on the problems when incumbent major power faces an up and coming challenger to its role as hegemon The name for this situation is the Thucydides trap Named after the historian who documented dominant Sparta s war with Athens which was the up and...This is Thucydides Paradox from his towering work, The Peloponnesian Wars and its implication for American Chinese relations, as per Graham Allison About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times War broke out in twelve of them Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immova This is Thucydides Paradox from his towerin...This was well written and informative A few takeaways China s growth can hardly be overstated It s genuinely impressive, and unprecedented in terms of modern metrics Chinese folks, by and large, have a pretty pragmatic view of the world democracy is not going to happen as long as the country is gettingprosperous under the CCP If responsive autocracy is working, why fix it In other words, hardly anyone is still talking about Tiananmen Square, now that China is on the path to growt This was well written and informative A few takeaways China s growth can hardly be overstated It s genuinely impressive, and unprecedented in terms of modern metrics Chinese folks, by and large, have a pretty pragmatic view of the world democracy is not going to happen as long as the country is gettingprosperous under the CCP If responsive autocracy is working, why fix it In other words, hardly anyone is still talking about Tiananmen Square, now that China is on the path to growth that it s on Not everyone thinks like Americans think As a newer country, it s important to understand this The American ability to look back on history is naturallylimited Chinese especially don t think like Americans think generally speaking Watch for U.S concessions in Asia in the years to come Watch for rising tension between China and its neighbors in the years to come Preventing war isn t as simple as wel...President says US will act unilaterally if China does not pressure PyongyanginOf the several books I ve read this spring on the China U S competition in the western Pacific, Destined for War vies with Christopher Coker s The Improbable War as being the most scholarly Both rely heavily on history for their analysis of the present.All I ve been reading refers to what s called the Thucydides Trap, the phenomenon existing when a ruling power is threatened with displacement by a rising power The situation, which is how all these analysts view the current China U S rivalr Of the several books I ve read this spring on the China U S competition in the western Pacific, Destined for War vies with Christopher Coker s The Improbable War as bei...Excellent data and analysis As the popular dialogue in the Western media is largely oblivious of China, and Chinese media largely nationalistic, such politic realism and cautious warning Graham provides is rare and precious U.S and China have to find a way to compromise and collaborate so that we have a stable and secure world Let s hope.For an excellent discussion among Graham and Former U.S Ambassador to U.N Samantha Power, and one well known historian Niall Ferguson, see Excellent data and analysis As the popular dialogue in the Western media is largely oblivious of China, and Chinese...The spectacular rise of China s economic and military might in the past twenty years has given rise to hope as well as anxiety and fear among diplomats and policy makers in the United States Even the academics and historians are intrigued by what it portends for the future Consequently, we have a plethora of books, essays and analysis in the media and from the publishing houses This book is onecontribution to the subject, but quite an original and interesting one It focuses on the ques The spectacular rise of China s economic and military might in the past twenty years has given rise to hope as well as anxiety and fear among diplomats and policy makers in the United States Even the academics and historians are...

Destined for War
  • 06 February 2018
  • Hardcover
  • 384 pages
  • 0544935276
  • Graham Allison
  • Destined for War